Sunday, August 12, 2007

Mitt Romney wins the straw poll


It comes as no surprise that Mitt Romney won the Iowa straw poll. He has been well organized in Iowa for a long time. The other top tier candidates didn't participate because they wanted to save face. They wouldn't be able to put together a good showing. Rudy says that this is because he got a late start in Iowa and that he is concentrating all his effort to winning the caucus.


The truth is that winning the Iowa straw poll helps you win the Iowa caucus. You have large number of people who have already committed to you. You also risk offending Iowa voters by giving off the impression that the Iowa straw poll isn't important. Iowa voters have a severe ego problem, they will not vote for someone who makes them feel unimportant.


I think that it is safe to say that Mitt Romney is now the front runner for the nomination. If Mitt Romney wins Iowa and New Hampshire, it will be very difficult to beat him for the nomination. He is leading by large margin in both.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

Mitt needs to show he is not a fraud conservative or he cannot/will not energize the base.

I would like to see a dollar amount on each vote he received, meaning adding all the money he spent in Iowa and dividing that into his 4,000 votes.